07-25-2010, 02:19 PM
I have had a few people peak at age 22. It is seams to be pretty random for the most part because I have had others peak at 25. It is part of the game in how random players peak, drop in rating, raise in rating.
For example on my team, I have had Rick Porcello and Julio Pena both peak at age 23. Porcello has dropped a ton in rating and Pena jumped up in rating. I have two hitters in my minor league John Carter and Jose Martinez at the age of 22 Carter peaked at 77 and Martinez at 22 is sitting at 72/80 still. Then I had players that have peaked already drop/raise in rating. I had Posey go from 83 to 85, Bucholz go from 90 to 92. I had Matsui drop from 81 to 79, Theriot drop from 81 to 78, Kubel from 81 to 79.
The basic gist is that it happens on all the teams. The whole part of the game is that you are not supposed to be able to predict the Roger Clemens from the Mark Priors or the Ichiros from the Fukudomes. That is why it is very random across the board. What fun would it be if every prospect reached their peak or you knew exactly what to expect from each player. The game is mimic of real life with baseball, think of all the one year flash in the pan players or the can't miss prospects that have missed. There are far more of them then the Derek Jeters or Alex Rodriguezs of baseball. It may frustrate us but what can you do, it is a game.
I think the biggest problem is what DJ alluded to earlier in his post. The drop in players and that in all honesty is on us. Think of all the players we have cut from our minor leagues that have gone to FA and then retired. That cuts into our player pool and that then skews the percentages because we are not able to replace those players faster than they are going out. We only have so many rounds in the draft and 1/2 those guys will get cut within a couple seasons when they don't pan out and then they will retire a season later after being in FA. I think this is why the drop in ratings for some have been so tremendous in some cases.
For example on my team, I have had Rick Porcello and Julio Pena both peak at age 23. Porcello has dropped a ton in rating and Pena jumped up in rating. I have two hitters in my minor league John Carter and Jose Martinez at the age of 22 Carter peaked at 77 and Martinez at 22 is sitting at 72/80 still. Then I had players that have peaked already drop/raise in rating. I had Posey go from 83 to 85, Bucholz go from 90 to 92. I had Matsui drop from 81 to 79, Theriot drop from 81 to 78, Kubel from 81 to 79.
The basic gist is that it happens on all the teams. The whole part of the game is that you are not supposed to be able to predict the Roger Clemens from the Mark Priors or the Ichiros from the Fukudomes. That is why it is very random across the board. What fun would it be if every prospect reached their peak or you knew exactly what to expect from each player. The game is mimic of real life with baseball, think of all the one year flash in the pan players or the can't miss prospects that have missed. There are far more of them then the Derek Jeters or Alex Rodriguezs of baseball. It may frustrate us but what can you do, it is a game.
I think the biggest problem is what DJ alluded to earlier in his post. The drop in players and that in all honesty is on us. Think of all the players we have cut from our minor leagues that have gone to FA and then retired. That cuts into our player pool and that then skews the percentages because we are not able to replace those players faster than they are going out. We only have so many rounds in the draft and 1/2 those guys will get cut within a couple seasons when they don't pan out and then they will retire a season later after being in FA. I think this is why the drop in ratings for some have been so tremendous in some cases.