League Revenue Changes

[AndyP]

The following changes will take effect after Spring Training of 2110:

1.  League Revenue will decline by 10% to -20%
2.  Revenue sharing will jump by 20%

Using 2108 as a guide here are 10 teams to show how this would play out:

       Rev No Changes    Sharing No Changes    Expected Payroll  Rev W/ Changes   Sharing With     Expected Payroll
LAA -       248M                   -42.5M                     206M                   233M              -49                         184M
BOS -      194M                   -15.5M                     179M                   178M             -11.2                        167M
WAS -      211M                     -24M                     187M                   210M              -32.9                      177.1M
SFG -       227M                     -32M                     195M                   219M              -39.2                       179.8M
DET -       169M                      -3M                     166M                   158M              +2.5                        160.5M


KCR -       120M                   +21.5M                  141.5M                 107M           +39.2                        139.2M
CHW -      85M                    +39M                     124M                     80M             +58.1                       138.1M
CIN -        88M                    +37.5M                  125.5M                   85M           +54.6                        139.6M
PIT -        113M                   +25M                     138M                   107M             +39.2                       139.2M
STL -       100M                   +31.5M                   131.5M                  94M             +48.3                       142.3M

If you're wondering why some teams fluctuate oddly, I didn't run perfect sims based on performances on purpose.  Here you can see what happens to a KC team that overperformed in the "No Changes" sim versus underperforming in the Changes sim.  Their payroll stayed roughly the same but that still indicates that KC won't be damaged as badly by rough years as they have in the past.  Cincy, by contrast, performed almost identically in the two sims and you can see a 14M jump in available payroll.  Ditto St. Louis.

On the upper end you can see this with Washington who performed much better in the changes sim so that their revenue barely dipped.  Even with that they see a dip in expected payroll.  Boston performed roughly the same so you can see the effect on their payroll.  

This will give our lower revenue clubs more wiggle room and less wiggle room for error on the upper end.  Cash will be better redistributed and payrolls are closer, but not perfectly, aligned.  You still see 50M gaps between the top and bottom clubs, but more of them are in the 160 range than previously.

You got two full seasons to be ready for it in 2110!

[AndyP]

Alright, I've been mapping how things have been working here and we've hit a plateau that I think is just short of where I was aiming.  I'm going to watch for three more seasons but as of now, in 2120 we will switch to a slightly larger revenue sharing distribution.  I've attached a projection using this year's numbers so people can see what it would entail.  

Not a huge change, but I'm just trying to be surgical and not use a sledgehammer.

[mattynokes]

but I'm just trying to be surgical and not use a sledgehammer.