07-12-2014, 09:30 PM
Hokey, I think it's that you seem to dock people too much for things like Need, Dropped, or Already Progressed. Those are all things to take into consideration, but nothing to be scared off enough not to select the guy. I believe SP Todd McFadden (CIN) and C Aaron Powell (ATL) both dropped before the draft last season, yet both had a jump after the draft.
There's a great example of two similar players with one already jumping in this draft with Patrick Baker and Justin Neuenhoff. If you go back to March 1, both guys look pretty similar and, personally, I see Neuenhoff as slightly better. Fast forward to draft day and Baker looks like the obvious choice. I think you would be a fool to assume that Baker is better since his vitals/peak/overall are better. Neuenhoff could mostly certainly have a jump just like Baker. For me, another part in this is that we've already seen Neuenhoff age and we know he's not going to be a 6 or 7 peak drop. We do not know this about Baker. So, there's pros and cons of jumping/not jumping or aging/not aging.
As for need, I think it's about 25% need, 75% best player on the board. This is baseball, not football or basketball where you can get an instant impact guy. If you simply acquire the best talent on the board, you can eventually trade off the excess parts for something you need - potentially making a great profit off of your investment.
There's a great example of two similar players with one already jumping in this draft with Patrick Baker and Justin Neuenhoff. If you go back to March 1, both guys look pretty similar and, personally, I see Neuenhoff as slightly better. Fast forward to draft day and Baker looks like the obvious choice. I think you would be a fool to assume that Baker is better since his vitals/peak/overall are better. Neuenhoff could mostly certainly have a jump just like Baker. For me, another part in this is that we've already seen Neuenhoff age and we know he's not going to be a 6 or 7 peak drop. We do not know this about Baker. So, there's pros and cons of jumping/not jumping or aging/not aging.
As for need, I think it's about 25% need, 75% best player on the board. This is baseball, not football or basketball where you can get an instant impact guy. If you simply acquire the best talent on the board, you can eventually trade off the excess parts for something you need - potentially making a great profit off of your investment.
Cleveland Record: 5631-4946 (.532) [2054-2071, 2083-2104, 2110-2135]
AL Post: 16 (ALC), 11 (WC) - ALDS Win: 12 - ALCS Champ: 7 - WS Champ: 4
ALW: Mariners + Angels Record: 1072-864 (.554) [2042-2048, 2105-2110]
AL Post: 3 (ALW), 4 (WC) - ALDS Win: 3 - ALCS Champ: 1 - WS Champ: 1
NLW: Rockies + Padres Record: 3230-2753 (.540) [2017-2042, 2072-2082]
NL Post: 18 (NLW), 4 (WC) - NLDS Win: 7 - NLCS Champ: 4 - WS Champ: 0