Nokes 2027 Draft Grades - Printable Version +- First Class Mogul (https://www.firstclassmogul.com) +-- Forum: General (https://www.firstclassmogul.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: Draft Analysis (https://www.firstclassmogul.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=117) +---- Forum: Nokes Draft Reviews (https://www.firstclassmogul.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=113) +---- Thread: Nokes 2027 Draft Grades (/showthread.php?tid=12094)

Nokes 2027 Draft Grades - mattynokes - 03-22-2012 Since I like formulas, once again I used a formula to determine the draft grades. Every player in the draft received a score and a ranking. Then based off of where you picked and the expected value on each pick is the grade you got. So you could hit a home run with one pick and then reach on the next pick and things should about even out. Teams that drafted early in each round are expected to do better than those who drafted late in each round. So the grades should reflect that. Teams relatively stayed within a C to B- grade and going higher or lower would indicate a better or worse draft class, respectively (C+ basically being “average”). Only the first three rounds were used. I did this because the second half of the draft is mainly for depth and not legitimate options to be counted on. 01. :ATL: Atlanta Braves Expected Grade: B+ Best Pick: C Alex Letva (Rank #5, Pick #13) Atlanta did a good job with only having three picks. They needed to come away with good talent and did. Bickerstaff has great potential and even though Ervin has already progressed, he’s still good value in the late first. Letva is just an excellent pick. With how few good catchers are in the league, he shouldn’t have fallen out of the top ten. Actual Grade: A- 02. :CHC: Chicago Cubs Expected Grade: C+ Best Pick: LF Enrique Huebe (Rank #7, Pick #15) The Cubs really came away strong with their top two picks. Lussier was projected to have gone in the late 2nd while Huebe was one of this class’ top outfield prospects. He should become an offensive force. Actual Grade: B+ 03. :HOU: Houston Astros Expected Grade: C Best Pick: LF Brian Tullis (Rank #42, Pick #93) Considering where they picked, the Astros may have had the best draft. However on every pick they got good value. Loredo was ranked 19th (ahead of and where Colin Hines went) while Gerhart was ranked 24th. Overall pretty darn good considering the GM wasn’t in attendance. Actual Grade: B 04. :CLE: Cleveland Indians Expected Grade: C Best Pick: CF Phil Wooton (Rank #46, Pick #81) Cleveland did well on all three picks. Loudermilk does have health concerns, but his talent could be top notch. Villannueva was projected to go very early in the 2nd round and fell to Cleveland at 49th. He isn’t the prototypical corner outfielder with his lack of power, but all skills could wind up 75+. Wooton was selected more than a round after his projected value. He would’ve even been a good pick at 49. With his speed, he could wind up one of the steals in this draft. Actual Grade: B 05. :BOS: Boston Red Sox Expected Grade: B- Best Pick: 1B Will Taylor (Rank #3, Pick #3) Boston had slight reaches with Grayfer and Eveland. However, Taylor is a strong prospect and taken right where he projected. Even though his contact isn’t what you’d want, he should still become an OPS monster and a quality fielder. Actual Grade: B 06. :PIT: Pittsburgh Pirates Expected Grade: C+ Best Pick: RF Alex Webb (Rank #30, Pick #45) Lamplugh was a slight reach, but still a strong middle relief prospect. The Pirates got good value on both Nicks and Webb. Nicks looks the part of a Gold Glove defender and his offense will come around at some point. Webb is the value pick. He’s already close to capable in the outfield and his offense has a solid base. Actual Grade: B- 07. :LAD: Los Angeles Dodgers Expected Grade: C Best Pick: 1B Peter Wrathall (Rank #12, Pick #20) The Dodgers did well, mostly drafting as expected value, but got a nice find with Wrathall. He has loads of power and has a knack for drawing walks. Actual Grade: B- 08. :COL: Colorado Rockies Expected Grade: C Best Pick: RF Ricardo Rivas (Rank #14 Pick #30) The Rockies did reach for Wittman, but made the first two picks count. Especially Rivas. His contact is a bit of an issue, but he has good power and plate discipline that should carry him. Actual Grade: B- 09. :PHI: Philadelphia Phillies Expected Grade: C+ Best Pick: 1B Royce Mitchell (Rank #54 Pick #72) The Phillies lost value with Mayner, gained value with Mitchell, and hit spot on with Chausse. It’s a toss up for who the best pick is between Mitchell and Chausse, but I’ll take Mitchell since he fell a half a round and can actually take a walk. Actual Grade: B- 10. :STL: St. Louis Cardinals Expected Grade: C+ Best Pick: CF Oscar Avila (Rank #9, Pick #10) The Cardinals had a respectable draft. For the most part they stayed close to their expected value. Newman ranked as mid-late first talent while Solgato was late third value. St. Louis narrowly missed out on a B- grade. Actual Grade: C+ 11. :SDP: San Diego Padres Expected Grade: B Best Pick: None Drouin looks good on paper, but when you consider he’s already progressed and has sub-70 health he doesn’t look so special. He’s not a bad prospect, just that better players were available at 2nd overall. Actual Grade: C+ 12. :FLA: Florida Marlins Expected Grade: C Best Pick: 1B Gary Bontein (Rank #61, Pick #91) Florida drafted about as expected with their first two picks and then selected Bontein in the third round. He was projected as a late second rounder, so the value is pretty good. He has good power, but there are concerns whether pitch recognition will ever find his eyesight. Actual Grade: C+ 13. :TEX: Texas Rangers Expected Grade: C+ Best Pick: LF Nelson Mestas (Rank #4, Pick #11) The Rangers made some good picks. They got some good value with guys like; Mestas, West, and Bothwick. However they reached on selections like; Underwood, Gibson, and Sidley. Actual Grade: C+ 14. :NYM: New York Mets Expected Grade: C Best Pick: SP Glenn Huckle (Rank #69, Pick #87) While I’d question Huckle becoming a reliable arm, the value is there. Judging by his skills and the nature of the draft he definitely should’ve been off the board earlier than the late third round. Actual Grade: C+ 15. :TBR: Tampa Bay Rays Expected Grade: C+ Best Pick: RF Tito Carrecheo (Rank #38, Pick #73) I’m sure Carrecheo’s health scared most people off. But even considering that he was probably in the least worth a second round pick. Edgar Williams on the other hand may be one of the biggest reaches in the first round. He’s a quality prospect, but he’s already progressed and judging from his jump, his peak will take a big drop. Actual Grade: C+ 16. :DET: Detroit Tigers Expected Grade: C Best Pick: SP Adam Scott (Rank #48, Pick #29) Scott was one of the better SP prospects in a weak SP class. Given the circumstances I’m really surprised he didn’t go much earlier. McFarland was another nice pick, but Nakamura looks to have slightly jumped (could be progression, could be a random jump). Stull is one that I know progressed already and as a result looks like actual fifth round talent. Still a solid draft given the picks made. Actual Grade: C+ 17. :SEA: Seattle Mariners Expected Grade: B- Best Pick: C Kevin Soame (Rank #60, Pick #66) Really a mediocre draft. Daniels has already progressed and came in ranked as the 13th best player. This was a pick where even if Daniels hadn’t progressed, better value was out there. Soame is a decent selection with the lack of catching talent. Though with his lack of an arm, he’s not going to scare away potential base stealers. Actual Grade: C+ 18. :OAK: Oakland A’s Expected Grade: C+ Best Pick: RF Derek Heitner (Rank #23, Pick #44) Considering Lefebre has already progressed and might have trouble develop both plate discipline and glovework, he was probably late second round talent. The A’s rebounded nicely with Heitner and got a solid value pick with Lewallen. Missing on that first rounder really hurts. Actual Grade: C+ 19. :MIN: Minnesota Twins Expected Grade: C Best Pick: SS Aaron Teutsch (Rank #49, Pick #58) If it wasn’t for Bririosca already progressing, this class would have been great for Minnesota. As a result it’s about what was expected for Minnesota, picking where they did. The Twins narrowly missed out on a C+ grade. Actual Grade: C 20. :CIN: Cincinnati Reds Expected Grade: C Best Pick: 2B Kevin Gowlett (Rank #17, Pick #28) I’ll admit, Gowlett was who I wanted when I was trading for the #30 pick. He’s very raw, but also very young and projectable. Both Viruet and Thompson were a bit of a reach since both have already progressed, but getting Gowlett makes up for it. Actual Grade: C 21. :BAL: Baltimore Orioles Expected Grade: C Best Pick: 1B Mark Parkinson (Rank #20, Pick #39) Baltimore failed miserably with Pareja (already progressed and ranked 100th), but got nice value on Parkinson and basically broke even on Morrison. Actual Grade: C 22. :CHW: Chicago White Sox Expected Grade: B- Best Pick: SP Luke Wadley (Rank #1, Pick #6) First off, I don’t necessarily agree with Wadley’s ranking, but it’s too much work to try and factor in upcoming birthdays. Still, Wadley is a good pick and still good value (he definitely should’ve been the first pitcher off the board). The problem with the class is the White Sox made a lot of reaches. Pena and Johnson both already progressed and their value was more than a round later. Actual Grade: C 23. :LAA: Los Angeles Angels Expected Grade: C Best Picks: None This is really surprising coming from the Angels. Both Kallen and Thompson were projected slightly later, so nothing hurt too bad, but Maughan was projected to go in the late fourth round. Nonetheless Kallen is still a solid prospect and saves the grade from being worse than expected. Actual Grade: C 24. :ARI: Arizona Diamondbacks Expected Grade: C Best Pick: None We’ll just say that Ragland was actually projected to go before Proby. The lack of pitch recognition and health really hurt Proby’s ranking. Actual Grade: C- 25. :TOR: Toronto Blue Jays Expected Grade: C- Best Pick: C Hiroshi Ikagaw (Rank #75, Pick #85) Other than Cargill, the other three top half picks for the Jays have already progressed. I think it makes for a lot of draft bench/middle relievers. Though when you’re picking dead last in most of the rounds you just flash your 2027 World Series ring and not care if all you get are reserve players. Actual Grade: D+ 26. :KCR: Kansas City Royals Expected Grade: C Best Pick: None Reaches on all three of the top picks. Especially Hines who has already progressed and when there were three better first baseman still on the board. Actual Grade: D+ 27. :NYY: New York Yankees Only one pick, but still could’ve done better than a pitcher who’s injury prone, has already progressed, and as a result looks like an injury call-up/long reliever at best. For those that don’t know who I’m talking about it’s Arturo Lassales (ranked #173, picked #52). Actual Grade: F :MIL: Milwaukee Brewers N/A :SFG: San Francisco Giants N/A :WAS: Washington Nationals N/A Here's interesting looks at the draft: Top Ten Picks Pick Rank Team Player Name Age Pos Overall Peak 1 2 :ATL: Bickerstaff, Jeff 17 3B 65 98 2 16 :SDP: Drouin, Darby 18 RF 66 94 3 3 :BOS: Taylor, Will 21 1B 66 96 4 13 :SEA: Daniels, Tom 19 SP 57 94 5 6 :TEX: Plakke, Tom 16 SS 61 91 6 1 :CHW: Wadley, Luke 21 SP 74 93 7 10 :TEX: Smith, Eric 21 LF 67 93 8 8 :PHI: Chaussé, Steve 21 1B 65 94 9 35 :TBR: Williams, Edgar 16 SS 62 95 10 9 :STL: Avila, Oscar 20 CF 68 89 Top Ten Players Not Taken Prior To Round Four Rank Player Name Age Pos Overall Peak 66 Bongard, Palmer 20 RF 67 79 72 Upshaw, Brian 21 2B 67 79 74 Burns, Mike 21 2B 67 83 78 Dunn, Joe 21 1B 66 79 79 Galster, Eric 21 SS 67 79 80 Chitty, Jeff 20 RP 48 82 85 Gambrell, Tony 19 SS 61 82 86 Young, Mike 21 CF 67 78 88 Earles, Rick 22 RP 65 80 89 Onions, Mike 19 C 64 79 Top Ten Best Value Picks Pick Rank Team Player Name Age Pos Overall Peak 93 42 :HOU: Tullis, Brian 22 LF 70 83 73 38 :TBR: Carracheo, Tito 22 RF 68 85 81 46 :CLE: Wooton, Phil 20 CF 67 82 91 61 :FLA: Bontein, Gary 20 1B 65 83 79 56 :CHC: Lussier, Will 19 1B 58 84 44 23 :OAK: Heitner, Derek 20 RF 65 88 61 41 :HOU: Vallance, Quintin 20 2B 67 86 64 44 :COL: McGlone, Dan 20 LF 65 83 39 20 :BAL: Parkinson, Mark 20 1B 66 90 48 29 :DET: Scott, Adam 19 SP 55 86 Top Ten Worst Value Picks Pick Rank Team Player Name Age Pos Overall Peak 52 173 :NYY: Lassales, Arturo 19 SP 55 85 83 171 :TEX: Hoffman, Luke 19 RP 50 79 65 124 :CHW: Mena, Frankie 17 RP 46 84 33 83 :CHW: Johnson, Orpheus 18 LF 57 88 89 136 :KCR: Ballou, Ronnie 18 RP 49 81 88 133 :DET: Stull, Devin 19 SP 51 81 57 100 :BAL: Pareja, Marcello 17 CF 62 86 25 65 :CHW: Pena, Ramon 18 3B 57 90 12 52 :OAK: Lefebre, Eric 18 2B 60 95 82 121 :LAA: Maughan, Gareth 20 RP 65 83 RE: Nokes 2027 Draft Grades - Cdawg - 03-23-2012 in the A's defense. I wasn't here nor aware there was a draft :(s RE: Nokes 2027 Draft Grades - mzylinski - 03-23-2012 Lets be fair based on the players San Fran brought in for their picks they should get given an A. RE: Nokes 2027 Draft Grades - bh1225 - 03-23-2012 Hate'n on Lassales. lulz